GMS poll of 21 June 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 21 Jun 2021
- Respondents
- 1,002
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%+2.0
- Grüne20.0%-4.0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- FDP12.0%+1.0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 17 May 2021.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 16 to 21 Jun 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 17 May 2021, Grüne loses 4.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.2average 21.2
- Linke +1.0average 7.0
- SPD +0.8average 15.2
- AfD -0.6average 10.6
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 27.7
- FDP ±0average 12.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- Grüne134
- SPD107
- FDP80
- AfD67
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke322 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.