GMS poll of 17 May 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 17 May 2021
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- Grüne24.0%+3.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- FDP11.0%±0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 29 Mar 2021.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 11 to 17 May 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 29 Mar 2021, Grüne gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 25.1
- Grüne -0.9average 24.9
- AfD +0.3average 10.7
- SPD -0.2average 15.2
- FDP +0.1average 10.9
- Linke -0.1average 7.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU174
- Grüne161
- SPD100
- FDP74
- AfD74
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD348 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP335 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.