GMS poll of 29 March 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 29 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 1,003
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%-11.0
- Grüne21.0%+3.0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- FDP11.0%+4.0
- AfD11.0%+2.0
- Linke8.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 15 Feb 2021.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 24 to 29 Mar 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 15 Feb 2021, CDU/CSU loses 11.0 points, FDP gains 4.0 points, Grüne gains 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has CDU/CSU 1.9 points lower and FDP 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.9average 27.9
- FDP +1.7average 9.3
- SPD -0.6average 16.6
- Grüne -0.4average 21.4
- AfD +0.4average 10.6
- Linke +0.3average 7.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU176
- Grüne142
- SPD108
- FDP75
- AfD75
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD326 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP325 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.