Single poll
GMS poll of 15 February 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 15 Feb 2021
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 10 to 15 Feb 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 4 Jan 2021, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Feb 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.4average 35.6
- SPD +1.3average 15.7
- Grüne -1.0average 19.0
- AfD -0.5average 9.5
- Linke -0.5average 7.5
- FDP -0.4average 7.4
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU246
- Grüne119
- SPD113
- AfD60
- FDP46
- Linke46
- CDU/CSU + Grüne365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke338 of 630
More
More polls
← GMS, 4 Jan 2021GMS, 29 Mar 2021 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2021
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.