GMS poll of 21 June 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 20 Jun 2022
- Respondents
- 1,003
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
- SPD21.0%-1.0
- Grüne21.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- AfD8.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 31 May 2022.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 15 to 20 Jun 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 31 May 2022, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has AfD 2.4 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.4average 10.4
- CDU/CSU +1.6average 27.4
- Linke -0.7average 4.7
- Grüne -0.3average 21.3
- SPD -0.1average 21.1
- FDP +0.1average 7.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU210
- SPD152
- Grüne152
- FDP58
- AfD58
- CDU/CSU + SPD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne362 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP362 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.