GMS poll of 27 July 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 25 Jul 2022
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%-2.0
- Grüne23.0%+2.0
- SPD18.0%-3.0
- AfD10.0%+2.0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke5.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 21 Jun 2022.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 20 to 25 Jul 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 21 Jun 2022, SPD loses 3.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has SPD 2.2 points lower and FDP 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.2average 20.2
- FDP +1.6average 7.4
- AfD -1.0average 11.0
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 26.3
- Grüne +0.5average 22.5
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- Grüne158
- SPD123
- AfD68
- FDP62
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + Grüne343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP370 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD349 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke342 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.