GMS poll of 21 September 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 20 Sep 2022
- Respondents
- 1,003
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
- Grüne21.0%-2.0
- SPD18.0%±0
- AfD13.0%+3.0
- FDP7.0%-2.0
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Others9.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 27 Jul 2022.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 14 to 20 Sep 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 27 Jul 2022, AfD gains 3.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has Linke 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -1.5average 5.5
- SPD -0.8average 18.8
- Grüne +0.6average 20.4
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 27.6
- AfD -0.1average 13.1
- FDP +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU203
- Grüne152
- SPD130
- AfD94
- FDP51
- CDU/CSU + Grüne355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD333 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP348 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.