GMS poll of 26 October 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 25 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 1,002
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%-1.0
- SPD18.0%±0
- AfD15.0%+2.0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 21 Sep 2022.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 19 to 25 Oct 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 21 Sep 2022, AfD gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.3average 19.3
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 27.1
- FDP -0.8average 6.8
- Linke -0.8average 4.8
- Grüne +0.5average 19.5
- AfD +0.2average 14.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU203
- Grüne145
- SPD130
- AfD109
- FDP43
- CDU/CSU + Grüne348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD333 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP355 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.