GMS poll of 2 December 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Nov 2022 to 1 Dec 2022
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne21.0%+1.0
- SPD18.0%±0
- AfD12.0%-3.0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others10.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 26 Oct 2022.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 28 Nov 2022 to 1 Dec 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 26 Oct 2022, AfD loses 3.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has AfD 2.0 points lower and Grüne 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Dec 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.0average 14.0
- Grüne +1.8average 19.2
- SPD -1.7average 19.7
- Linke -1.1average 5.1
- FDP +0.6average 6.4
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 28.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU205
- Grüne154
- SPD132
- AfD88
- FDP51
- CDU/CSU + Grüne359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD337 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP344 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP337 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.