Single poll
GMS poll of 9 August 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 8 Aug 2023
- Respondents
- 1,004
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,004 people were surveyed from 2 to 8 Aug 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 4 Jul 2023, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.2average 18.2
- Grüne -1.0average 15.0
- AfD +0.6average 20.4
- Linke -0.6average 4.6
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 26.6
- FDP +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU198
- AfD154
- SPD124
- Grüne103
- FDP51
- CDU/CSU + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP329 of 630
More
More polls
← GMS, 4 Jul 2023GMS, 19 Sep 2023 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2023
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.