Single poll
GMS poll of 19 September 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 18 Sep 2023
- Respondents
- 1,002
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 13 to 18 Sep 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 9 Aug 2023, AfD gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has AfD 1.6 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.6average 21.4
- SPD -1.3average 17.3
- Linke -0.8average 4.8
- Grüne +0.6average 14.4
- FDP -0.6average 6.6
- CDU/CSU ±0average 27.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU195
- AfD167
- SPD116
- Grüne109
- FDP43
- CDU/CSU + AfD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne420 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne392 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP347 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP326 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + FDP319 of 630
More
More polls
← GMS, 9 Aug 2023GMS, 12 Dec 2023 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2023
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.