Single poll
GMS poll of 17 September 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 16 Sep 2024
- Respondents
- 1,006
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,006 people were surveyed from 11 to 16 Sep 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 13 Aug 2024, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has CDU/CSU 1.6 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Sep 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.6average 32.4
- Linke -1.2average 3.2
- Freie Wähler +1.0average 2.0
- BSW -0.9average 7.9
- AfD +0.6average 17.4
- SPD -0.6average 14.6
- Grüne -0.3average 11.3
- FDP -0.2average 4.2
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU255
- AfD135
- SPD105
- Grüne83
- BSW52
- CDU/CSU + AfD390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne338 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne323 of 630
More
More polls
← GMS, 13 Aug 2024GMS, 3 Dec 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.