Single poll
GMS poll of 3 December 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Nov 2024 to 2 Dec 2024
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 27 Nov 2024 to 2 Dec 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 17 Sep 2024, Grüne gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Dec 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.2average 18.2
- CDU/CSU +1.1average 32.9
- Grüne +1.0average 12.0
- Linke -0.3average 3.3
- SPD -0.2average 15.2
- BSW -0.2average 6.2
- Freie Wähler -0.2average 2.2
- FDP -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU252
- AfD126
- SPD111
- Grüne96
- BSW45
- CDU/CSU + AfD378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne348 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne333 of 630
More
More polls
← GMS, 17 Sep 2024GMS, 3 Jan 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.