GMS poll of 27 April 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 27 Apr 2020
- Respondents
- 1,002
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU38.0%+10.0
- SPD16.0%+3.0
- Grüne16.0%-5.0
- AfD10.0%-4.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP6.0%-3.0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 3 Jan 2020.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 20 to 27 Apr 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 3 Jan 2020, CDU/CSU gains 10.0 points, Grüne loses 5.0 points, AfD loses 4.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Apr 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.0average 17.0
- SPD -0.4average 16.4
- Linke +0.4average 7.6
- AfD +0.3average 9.7
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 37.8
- FDP -0.1average 6.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU255
- SPD107
- Grüne107
- AfD67
- Linke54
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + SPD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP349 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.