GMS poll of 15 June 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 15 Jun 2020
- Respondents
- 1,002
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU39.0%+1.0
- Grüne17.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- AfD9.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 27 Apr 2020.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 39.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 9 to 15 Jun 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 27 Apr 2020, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Jun 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.0average 18.0
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 38.3
- AfD -0.3average 9.3
- Linke +0.3average 7.7
- FDP +0.2average 5.8
- SPD +0.1average 14.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU261
- Grüne114
- SPD101
- AfD60
- Linke54
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD321 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP355 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.