GMS poll of 27 July 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 27 Jul 2020
- Respondents
- 1,003
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU38.0%-1.0
- Grüne19.0%+2.0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- AfD10.0%+1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Linke6.0%-2.0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 15 Jun 2020.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 22 to 27 Jul 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 15 Jun 2020, Grüne gains 2.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has Linke 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jul 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -1.8average 7.8
- SPD -0.9average 14.9
- CDU/CSU +0.8average 37.2
- Grüne +0.6average 18.4
- AfD -0.2average 10.2
- FDP +0.2average 5.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU257
- Grüne128
- SPD95
- AfD68
- FDP41
- Linke41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke339 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.