Single poll
GMS poll of 12 October 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 12 Oct 2020
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 7 to 12 Oct 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 27 Jul 2020, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Oct 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -0.7average 7.7
- Grüne +0.4average 19.6
- SPD +0.4average 15.6
- FDP -0.4average 5.4
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 35.7
- AfD -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU241
- Grüne134
- SPD107
- AfD67
- Linke47
- FDP34
- CDU/CSU + Grüne375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP322 of 630
More
More polls
← GMS, 27 Jul 2020GMS, 9 Nov 2020 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2020
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.