Single poll
GMS poll of 9 November 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 9 Nov 2020
- Respondents
- 1,007
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,007 people were surveyed from 4 to 9 Nov 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 12 Oct 2020, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Nov 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.3average 35.7
- FDP -1.1average 6.1
- Linke -0.9average 7.9
- SPD -0.5average 15.5
- AfD -0.3average 10.3
- Grüne +0.1average 18.9
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU250
- Grüne129
- SPD102
- AfD68
- Linke47
- FDP34
- CDU/CSU + Grüne379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP331 of 630
More
More polls
← GMS, 12 Oct 2020GMS, 4 Jan 2021 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2020
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.