Single poll
GMS poll of 3 January 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Dec 2019 to 2 Jan 2020
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 27 Dec 2019 to 2 Jan 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 3 Dec 2019, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Jan 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -0.8average 13.8
- FDP +0.8average 8.2
- Linke -0.8average 8.8
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 27.5
- AfD -0.3average 14.3
- Grüne -0.2average 21.2
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- Grüne142
- AfD95
- SPD88
- FDP61
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke332 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD325 of 630
More
More polls
← GMS, 3 Dec 2019GMS, 27 Apr 2020 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2020
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.