GMS poll of 3 December 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Nov 2019 to 2 Dec 2019
- Respondents
- 1,004
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- Grüne21.0%-1.0
- AfD15.0%±0
- SPD14.0%±0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 8 Oct 2019.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,004 people were surveyed from 27 Nov 2019 to 2 Dec 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 8 Oct 2019, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Dec 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.3average 7.7
- Linke -1.1average 9.1
- AfD +0.9average 14.1
- Grüne -0.6average 21.6
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 27.1
- SPD ±0average 14.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- Grüne141
- AfD100
- SPD94
- FDP60
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP335 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.