Single poll
GMS poll of 18 June 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 17 Jun 2024
- Respondents
- 1,007
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,007 people were surveyed from 11 to 17 Jun 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 7 May 2024, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has AfD 1.6 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Jun 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.6average 16.4
- SPD -1.3average 15.3
- Grüne +1.2average 12.8
- BSW -1.1average 7.1
- Freie Wähler -0.7average 2.7
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 30.4
- Linke -0.2average 3.2
- FDP ±0average 5.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU222
- AfD129
- SPD100
- Grüne100
- BSW43
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne329 of 630
More
More polls
← GMS, 7 May 2024GMS, 13 Aug 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.