Single poll
GMS poll of 7 May 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Apr 2024 to 6 May 2024
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 30 Apr 2024 to 6 May 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 6 Feb 2024, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 May 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -1.4average 3.4
- FDP -1.1average 5.1
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 30.4
- AfD +0.6average 17.4
- Freie Wähler +0.4average 2.6
- SPD -0.3average 15.3
- Grüne +0.1average 13.9
- BSW +0.1average 5.9
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU233
- AfD135
- SPD112
- Grüne105
- BSW45
- CDU/CSU + AfD368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne338 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne352 of 630
More
More polls
← GMS, 6 Feb 2024GMS, 18 Jun 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.