GMS poll of 17 November 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 17 Nov 2025
- Respondents
- 1,020
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD26.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU25.0%-1.0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- Grüne12.0%+1.0
- Linke11.0%+1.0
- FDP3.0%±0
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 30 Sep 2025.
In this poll GMS has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 1,020 people were surveyed from 11 to 17 Nov 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 30 Sep 2025, AfD gains 1.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Nov 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 25.8
- SPD -0.6average 14.6
- Linke +0.6average 10.4
- BSW -0.6average 3.6
- AfD +0.4average 25.6
- Grüne +0.4average 11.6
- FDP -0.2average 3.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD186
- CDU/CSU179
- SPD100
- Grüne86
- Linke79
- AfD + CDU/CSU365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.