GMS poll of 4 April 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Mar 2023 to 3 Apr 2023
- Respondents
- 1,007
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%+2.0
- SPD19.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%±0
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 21 Feb 2023.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,007 people were surveyed from 29 Mar 2023 to 3 Apr 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 21 Feb 2023, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has CDU/CSU 2.4 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.4average 28.6
- FDP -0.9average 6.9
- Linke -0.8average 4.8
- SPD -0.7average 19.7
- Grüne +0.3average 16.7
- AfD -0.1average 15.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU222
- SPD136
- Grüne122
- AfD107
- FDP43
- CDU/CSU + SPD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD329 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD365 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.