GMS poll of 21 February 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 20 Feb 2023
- Respondents
- 1,004
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%±0
- SPD19.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%±0
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 4 Jan 2023.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,004 people were surveyed from 15 to 20 Feb 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 4 Jan 2023, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has SPD 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.7average 20.7
- CDU/CSU +1.0average 28.0
- FDP +0.4average 6.6
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
- Grüne -0.1average 17.1
- AfD +0.1average 14.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- SPD130
- Grüne116
- AfD103
- FDP48
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD418 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke349 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.