GMS poll of 6 June 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 31 May 2023 to 5 Jun 2023
- Respondents
- 1,001
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%-2.0
- AfD19.0%+4.0
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%-2.0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 4 Apr 2023.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 31 May 2023 to 5 Jun 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 4 Apr 2023, AfD gains 4.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has AfD 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.8average 17.2
- SPD -0.8average 18.8
- Linke -0.8average 4.8
- FDP -0.3average 7.3
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 28.8
- Grüne +0.2average 14.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU208
- AfD136
- SPD129
- Grüne107
- FDP50
- CDU/CSU + AfD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD337 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP365 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.