GMS poll of 1 June 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 27 May 2026 to 1 Jun 2026
- Respondents
- 1,023
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD27.0%+3.0
- CDU/CSU23.0%-3.0
- Grüne16.0%+4.0
- SPD11.0%-5.0
- Linke11.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%+2.0
- Freie Wähler2.0%±0
- BSW2.0%-1.0
- Others3.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 3 Mar 2026.
In this poll GMS has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 1,023 people were surveyed from 27 May 2026 to 1 Jun 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 3 Mar 2026, SPD loses 5.0 points, Grüne gains 4.0 points, AfD gains 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has Grüne 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Jun 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.6average 14.4
- SPD -1.4average 12.4
- FDP +1.2average 3.8
- BSW -1.2average 3.2
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 23.3
- AfD +0.2average 26.8
- Linke +0.1average 10.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD183
- CDU/CSU156
- Grüne108
- SPD75
- Linke74
- FDP34
- AfD + CDU/CSU339 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD366 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke338 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke332 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + FDP325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.