GMS poll of 13 September 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 12 Sep 2019
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
- Grüne23.0%-2.0
- SPD16.0%+3.0
- AfD12.0%±0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 23 Jul 2019.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 6 to 12 Sep 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 23 Jul 2019, SPD gains 3.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has AfD 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Sep 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.9average 13.9
- SPD +1.4average 14.6
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 27.8
- Linke +0.6average 7.4
- Grüne +0.3average 22.7
- FDP ±0average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- Grüne156
- SPD109
- AfD81
- Linke54
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke346 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP339 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.