GMS poll of 25 June 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 24 Jun 2019
- Respondents
- 1,004
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%-3.0
- Grüne26.0%+7.0
- SPD13.0%-4.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 9 May 2019.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 26.0%. 1,004 people were surveyed from 18 to 24 Jun 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 9 May 2019, Grüne gains 7.0 points, SPD loses 4.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has Grüne 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Jun 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.5average 24.5
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 26.9
- SPD -0.3average 13.3
- AfD +0.3average 12.7
- FDP ±0average 8.0
- Linke ±0average 8.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU174
- Grüne174
- SPD87
- AfD87
- FDP54
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD348 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD348 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.