GMS poll of 9 May 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 8 May 2019
- Respondents
- 1,006
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
- Grüne19.0%+1.0
- SPD17.0%+2.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP8.0%-2.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 4 Apr 2019.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,006 people were surveyed from 2 to 8 May 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 4 Apr 2019, SPD gains 2.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 May 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -0.7average 8.7
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 28.7
- Linke +0.2average 8.8
- Grüne ±0average 19.0
- SPD ±0average 17.0
- AfD ±0average 13.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- Grüne126
- SPD113
- AfD86
- Linke60
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP331 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.