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Pollster and election

YouGov on the federal election

130 polls since 9 May 2017, the latest from 15 September 2026 for YouGov. Against the current average of all pollsters, YouGov has CDU/CSU -2.3 and Linke -1.6. House effect since 22 Sep 2025: CDU/CSU -0.9, AfD +0.7, BSW +0.5.

  • AfD29.0%+1.0
  • CDU/CSU18.0%-2.0
  • Grüne16.0%+1.0
  • SPD13.0%+1.0
  • Linke10.0%-2.0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • BSW4.0%+1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the YouGov poll of 18 Aug 2026.

This poll in detail

Trend

All YouGov figures for the federal election

010203040Nov 24Jan 25Mar 25May 25Jul 25Sep 25Nov 25Jan 26Mar 26May 26Jul 26Sep 26AfDCDU/CSUGrüneSPDLinkeFDPBSW
Dots are individual polls, lines the rolling average over 45 days. Period 10 Oct 2024 to 15 Sep 2026. Tap the tiles to hide parties.
Accuracy

YouGov before the last elections

Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.

  • Election 23 Feb 2025 (poll 21 Feb 2025)0.6 ptsbiggest miss Grüne +1.4
  • Election 26 Sep 2021 (poll 23 Sep 2021)1.5 ptsbiggest miss CDU/CSU -3.1
  • Election 24 Sep 2017 (poll 21 Sep 2017)2.1 ptsbiggest miss CDU/CSU +3.1
Archive

All 130 polls

YouGov polls for the federal election
PollsterPublishedAfDCDU/CSUGrüneSPDLinkeFDPBSWOthers
YouGov15 Sep 20262918161310545
YouGov18 Aug 20262820151212535
YouGov14 Jul 20262720141212546
YouGov16 Jun 20262920141212545
YouGov12 May 20262822131311445
YouGov15 Apr 20262723141310445
YouGov17 Mar 2026262613149336
YouGov11 Feb 20262525111610446
YouGov14 Jan 20262525121610435
YouGov17 Dec 20252626121410445
YouGov19 Nov 20252527111411445
YouGov15 Oct 20252627111410345
YouGov17 Sep 2025272611159454
YouGov20 Aug 20252527121410354
YouGov16 Jul 20252527111410355
YouGov18 Jun 2025232812148355
YouGov14 May 2025252712159344
YouGov30 Apr 20252626121410453
YouGov26 Mar 20252426121510354
YouGov21 Feb 2025202913168455
YouGov18 Feb 2025202712179455
YouGov12 Feb 2025212912166456
YouGov5 Feb 2025222912186464
YouGov29 Jan 2025232913155365
YouGov22 Jan 2025192815194466
YouGov15 Jan 2025213014184465
YouGov8 Jan 2025212914163566
YouGov5 Dec 2024193013183476
YouGov14 Nov 2024193312153576
YouGov10 Oct 2024183211163586
YouGov13 Sep 2024183213144486
YouGov16 Aug 2024193112153586
YouGov5 Jul 2024193012143696
YouGov7 Jun 2024182912144498
YouGov10 May 2024193014164475
YouGov11 Apr 2024192915144576
YouGov7 Mar 2024192914154477
YouGov8 Feb 2024203112143476
YouGov11 Jan 20242429121556–7
YouGov8 Dec 20232330141446–7
YouGov10 Nov 20232229151555–7
YouGov13 Oct 20232129151665–5
YouGov8 Sep 20232329141655–8
YouGov4 Aug 20232327141765–7
YouGov7 Jul 20232127141866–6
YouGov9 Jun 20232028131965–7
YouGov12 May 20231731161665–7
YouGov6 Apr 20231730152066–6
YouGov10 Mar 20231728162076–6
YouGov10 Feb 20231727161966–7
YouGov13 Jan 20231627171868–6
YouGov22 Dec 20221430171957–8
YouGov11 Nov 20221629201875–5
YouGov14 Oct 20221529191666–7
YouGov16 Sep 20221429191676–7
YouGov12 Aug 20221427211966–7
YouGov8 Jul 20221228201957–8
YouGov10 Jun 20221230211867–6
YouGov12 May 20221028192059–7
YouGov14 Apr 20221226182169–7

The 60 most recent; older ones via the Chronicle.

Other elections covered by this pollster

Election tickerNext electionSaarland207 daysLatest pollForsa, North Rhine-Westphalia23 Sep 2026CDU 29AfD 22Grüne 18Biggest moveSPD, Rhineland-Palatinate▼ −8,3Leading nationallyAfDfor 159 daysRun-offsLower Saxony local elections4 daysLatest resultBerlin state election 2026Linke 25.7%, preliminary

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