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Pollster and election

YouGov on the North Rhine-Westphalia state election

5 polls since 25 April 2017, the latest from 13 May 2022 for YouGov. Against the current average of all pollsters, YouGov has SPD +12.5 and AfD -12.5.

  • CDU31.0%±0
  • SPD28.0%+4.0
  • Grüne15.0%+5.0
  • FDP10.0%±0
  • AfD7.0%-6.0
  • Linke4.0%-3.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the YouGov poll of 19 Sep 2018.

This poll in detail

Trend

All YouGov figures for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election

01020302019202020212022CDUSPDGrüneFDPAfDLinke
Dots are individual polls, lines the rolling average over 120 days. Period 19 Sep 2018 to 13 May 2022. Tap the tiles to hide parties.
Accuracy

YouGov before the last elections

Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.

  • Election 15 May 2022 (poll 13 May 2022)2.8 ptsbiggest miss CDU -4.7
  • Election 14 May 2017 (poll 11 May 2017)1.9 ptsbiggest miss FDP -3.6
Archive

All 5 polls

YouGov polls for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
PollsterPublishedCDUSPDGrüneFDPAfDLinkeOthers
YouGov13 May 202231281510745
YouGov19 Sep 2018312410101375
YouGov12 Sep 2017353069983
YouGov11 May 2017313079984
YouGov25 Apr 20172736671183

Other elections covered by this pollster

Election tickerNext electionSaarland207 daysLatest pollForsa, North Rhine-Westphalia23 Sep 2026CDU 29AfD 22Grüne 18Biggest moveSPD, Rhineland-Palatinate▼ −8,3Leading nationallyAfDfor 159 daysRun-offsLower Saxony local elections4 daysLatest resultBerlin state election 2026Linke 25.7%, preliminary

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