Single poll

YouGov poll of 11 May 2017 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election

Commissioned by
SAT.1 NRW
Fieldwork period
8 to 10 May 2017
Respondents
1,017
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU31.0%+4.0
  • SPD30.0%-6.0
  • FDP9.0%+2.0
  • AfD9.0%-2.0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • Grüne7.0%+1.0
  • Piraten2.0%±0
  • Others4.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 25 Apr 2017.

In this poll YouGov has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 30.0%. 1,017 people were surveyed from 8 to 10 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by SAT.1 NRW.

Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 25 Apr 2017, SPD loses 6.0 points, CDU gains 4.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has SPD 4.0 points lower and FDP 3.1 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 11 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -4.0average 34.0
  • FDP -3.1average 12.1
  • Linke +2.7average 5.3
  • AfD +1.6average 7.4
  • CDU +0.7average 30.3
  • Grüne +0.5average 6.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 60 seatsSPD: 58 seatsFDP: 17 seatsAfD: 17 seatsLinke: 15 seatsGrüne: 14 seatsMajority from 91181of 181 seats
  • CDU60
  • SPD58
  • FDP17
  • AfD17
  • Linke15
  • Grüne14
  • CDU + SPD118 of 181
  • CDU + FDP + AfD94 of 181
  • CDU + FDP + Linke92 of 181
  • CDU + AfD + Linke92 of 181
  • SPD + FDP + AfD92 of 181
  • CDU + FDP + Grüne91 of 181
  • CDU + AfD + Grüne91 of 181
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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