Single poll

YouGov poll of 12 September 2017 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election

Commissioned by
SAT.1 NRW
Fieldwork period
1 to 8 Sep 2017
Respondents
1,048
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU35.0%+4.0
  • SPD30.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • Grüne6.0%-1.0
  • Others3.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 11 May 2017.

In this poll YouGov has CDU ahead on 35.0%, followed by SPD on 30.0%. 1,048 people were surveyed from 1 to 8 Sep 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by SAT.1 NRW.

Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 11 May 2017, CDU gains 4.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has FDP 4.0 points lower and CDU 3.3 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Sep 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -4.0average 13.0
  • CDU +3.3average 31.7
  • Linke +2.3average 5.7
  • AfD +2.0average 7.0
  • SPD -1.6average 31.6
  • Grüne -0.5average 6.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 65 seatsSPD: 56 seatsFDP: 17 seatsAfD: 17 seatsLinke: 15 seatsGrüne: 11 seatsMajority from 91181of 181 seats
  • CDU65
  • SPD56
  • FDP17
  • AfD17
  • Linke15
  • Grüne11
  • CDU + SPD121 of 181
  • CDU + FDP + AfD99 of 181
  • CDU + FDP + Linke97 of 181
  • CDU + AfD + Linke97 of 181
  • CDU + FDP + Grüne93 of 181
  • CDU + AfD + Grüne93 of 181
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne91 of 181
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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