Single poll

YouGov poll of 13 May 2022 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election

Commissioned by
YouGov
Fieldwork period
6 to 12 May 2022
Respondents
694
Method
Online
  • CDU31.0%±0
  • SPD28.0%+4.0
  • Grüne15.0%+5.0
  • FDP10.0%±0
  • AfD7.0%-6.0
  • Linke4.0%-3.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 19 Sep 2018.

In this poll YouGov has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 28.0%. 694 people were surveyed from 6 to 12 May 2022, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.

Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 19 Sep 2018, AfD loses 6.0 points, Grüne gains 5.0 points, SPD gains 4.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has FDP 3.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP +3.0average 7.0
  • Grüne -1.4average 16.4
  • Linke +1.0average 3.0
  • CDU -0.8average 31.8
  • SPD -0.4average 28.4
  • AfD +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 61 seatsSPD: 56 seatsGrüne: 30 seatsFDP: 20 seatsAfD: 14 seatsMajority from 91181of 181 seats
  • CDU61
  • SPD56
  • Grüne30
  • FDP20
  • AfD14
  • CDU + SPD117 of 181
  • CDU + Grüne91 of 181
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP106 of 181
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD100 of 181
  • CDU + FDP + AfD95 of 181
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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