Pollster and election

Allensbach on the federal election

120 polls since 22 February 2017, the latest from 21 August 2026 for Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung. Against the current average of all pollsters, Allensbach has CDU/CSU +2.2 and Grüne -1.8. House effect since 22 Sep 2025: CDU/CSU +1.6, AfD -0.8, FDP +0.6.

  • AfD27.5%+1.0
  • CDU/CSU22.5%-1.5
  • SPD13.0%±0
  • Grüne13.0%±0
  • Linke11.0%+1.0
  • FDP6.0%+0.5
  • Others7.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Allensbach poll of 23 Jul 2026.

This poll in detail

Trend

All Allensbach figures for the federal election

010203040Sep 24Nov 24Jan 25Mar 25May 25Jul 25Sep 25Nov 25Jan 26Mar 26May 26Jul 26AfDCDU/CSUSPDGrüneLinkeFDP
Dots are individual polls, lines the rolling average over 45 days. Period 22 Aug 2024 to 21 Aug 2026. Tap the tiles to hide parties.
Accuracy

Allensbach before the last elections

Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.

  • Election 23 Feb 2025 (poll 21 Feb 2025)1.2 ptsbiggest miss CDU/CSU +3.5
  • Election 26 Sep 2021 (poll 24 Sep 2021)0.6 ptsbiggest miss Grüne +1.2
  • Election 24 Sep 2017 (poll 19 Sep 2017)1.5 ptsbiggest miss CDU/CSU +3.6
Archive

All 120 polls

Allensbach polls for the federal election
PollsterPublishedAfDCDU/CSUSPDGrüneLinkeFDPOthers
Allensbach21 Aug 202627.522.513131167
Allensbach23 Jul 202626.5241313105.58
Allensbach24 Jun 2026282412.513105.57
Allensbach11 May 2026262512.514104.58
Allensbach17 Apr 2026252614131048
Allensbach21 Mar 202623281611.51047.5
Allensbach2 Mar 2026242716121047
Allensbach31 Jan 202625271511.5103.58
Allensbach11 Dec 202525271412.594.55
Allensbach14 Nov 2025242715.511103.55
Allensbach17 Oct 2025252615111135
Allensbach24 Sep 2025242715111145
Allensbach21 Aug 202522.52816111044.5
Allensbach19 Jul 202523291512944.5
Allensbach20 Jun 202523291611944
Allensbach24 May 202522.52817111034.5
Allensbach19 Apr 202523.52716121034.5
Allensbach27 Mar 20252129.51611.51035
Allensbach21 Feb 2025203214.5127.54.55
Allensbach14 Feb 202520321513655
Allensbach23 Jan 202520341713.546.5
Allensbach20 Dec 20241836161248
Allensbach22 Nov 20241737151049.5
Allensbach18 Oct 202416361510.54.59
Allensbach19 Sep 20241735.5161048.5
Allensbach22 Aug 202416341611.5357.5
Allensbach25 Jul 2024173216.511.569
Allensbach20 Jun 202415321613368
Allensbach24 May 20241432.517.513366
Allensbach26 Apr 20241632.51615364.5
Allensbach21 Mar 202416341514356
Allensbach22 Feb 202418321514365
Allensbach25 Jan 202419.5341513.5465
Allensbach21 Dec 2023183417153.554.5
Allensbach23 Nov 202319321713.53.565
Allensbach26 Oct 202319341713355
Allensbach21 Sep 202319301814577
Allensbach23 Aug 202319291914577
Allensbach27 Jul 202318291916477
Allensbach29 Jun 202317311915486
Allensbach18 May 202315321816586
Allensbach26 Apr 20231631201557.55.5
Allensbach23 Mar 2023153121164.56.56
Allensbach15 Feb 2023143022.51647.56
Allensbach26 Jan 2023143121174.566.5
Allensbach21 Dec 2022123022184.57.56
Allensbach24 Nov 20221429.52020475.5
Allensbach20 Oct 20221430.51919575.5
Allensbach16 Sep 2022133020195.575.5
Allensbach24 Aug 2022122919.521585.5
Allensbach27 Jul 20221127.52222575.5
Allensbach22 Jun 2022102723224.585.5
Allensbach27 May 20229292420.54.585
Allensbach13 Apr 20229242817697
Allensbach24 Mar 202210252517510.57.5
Allensbach24 Feb 202210272515610.56.5
Allensbach26 Jan 2022102327.514.55.512.57
Allensbach22 Dec 202110.52426155136.5
Allensbach18 Nov 20219.52327155.5146
Allensbach20 Oct 20219.52128155147.5

The 60 most recent; older ones via the Chronicle.

Other elections covered by this pollster

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