Wahlergebnissede
Pollster and election

Institut Wahlkreisprognose on the Lower Saxony state election

16 polls since 26 August 2021, the latest from 7 October 2022 for Institut Wahlkreisprognose. Against the current average of all pollsters, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD -11.0 and SPD +9.0.

  • SPD35.0%±0
  • CDU27.0%±0
  • Grüne15.5%±0
  • AfD10.0%-1.0
  • FDP5.0%+0.5
  • Linke3.0%+0.5
  • Others4.5%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 1 Oct 2022.

This poll in detail

Trend

All Institut Wahlkreisprognose figures for the Lower Saxony state election

010203040Sep 21Oct 21Nov 21Dec 21Jan 22Feb 22Mar 22Apr 22May 22Jun 22Jul 22Aug 22Sep 22Oct 22SPDCDUGrüneAfDFDPLinke
Dots are individual polls, lines the rolling average over 120 days. Period 26 Aug 2021 to 7 Oct 2022. Tap the tiles to hide parties.
Accuracy

Institut Wahlkreisprognose before the last elections

Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.

  • Election 9 Oct 2022 (poll 7 Oct 2022)0.9 ptsbiggest miss SPD +1.6
Archive

All 16 polls

Institut Wahlkreisprognose polls for the Lower Saxony state election
PollsterPublishedSPDCDUGrüneAfDFDPLinkeOthers
Institut Wahlkreisprognose7 Oct 2022352715.510534.5
Institut Wahlkreisprognose1 Oct 2022352715.5114.52.54.5
Institut Wahlkreisprognose24 Sep 20223527.515.5952.55.5
Institut Wahlkreisprognose17 Sep 202234.525.517.595.535
Institut Wahlkreisprognose9 Sep 202234.526178.5635
Institut Wahlkreisprognose2 Sep 202234.525178.57.534.5
Institut Wahlkreisprognose1 Sep 20223229197625
Institut Wahlkreisprognose20 Aug 20222730217726
Institut Wahlkreisprognose5 Aug 20222930236525
Institut Wahlkreisprognose17 Jul 20223327225625
Institut Wahlkreisprognose12 Jun 20223226226635
Institut Wahlkreisprognose24 May 202230.526245725.5
Institut Wahlkreisprognose1 May 20223426206725
Institut Wahlkreisprognose24 Mar 20223328195.5824.5
Institut Wahlkreisprognose4 Mar 20223528.5165.582.54.5
Institut Wahlkreisprognose26 Aug 202139201751144

Other elections covered by this pollster

Election tickerNext electionSaarland207 daysLatest pollForsa, North Rhine-Westphalia23 Sep 2026CDU 29AfD 22Grüne 18Biggest moveSPD, Rhineland-Palatinate▼ −8,3Leading nationallyAfDfor 159 daysRun-offsLower Saxony local elections4 daysLatest resultBerlin state election 2026Linke 25.7%, preliminary

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.