Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 4 March 2022 for the Lower Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 26 Feb 2022 to 4 Mar 2022
- Respondents
- 1,250
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD35.0%-4.0
- CDU28.5%+8.5
- Grüne16.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%-3.0
- AfD5.5%+0.5
- Linke2.5%-1.5
- Others4.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 26 Aug 2021.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 35.0%, followed by CDU on 28.5%. 1,250 people were surveyed from 26 Feb 2022 to 4 Mar 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 26 Aug 2021, CDU gains 8.5 points, SPD loses 4.0 points, FDP loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 4.0 points higher and FDP 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +4.0average 24.5
- FDP -2.5average 10.5
- AfD -1.5average 7.0
- Grüne +1.0average 15.0
- Linke -1.0average 3.5
- SPD ±0average 35.0
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD51
- CDU41
- Grüne23
- FDP12
- AfD8
- SPD + CDU92 of 135
- SPD + Grüne74 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + FDP76 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + AfD72 of 135
- SPD + FDP + AfD71 of 135
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.