Single poll

Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 26 August 2021 for the Lower Saxony state election

Commissioned by
Institut Wahlkreisprognose
Fieldwork period
16 to 26 Aug 2021
Respondents
1,002
Method
Online
  • SPD39.0%
  • CDU20.0%
  • Grüne17.0%
  • FDP11.0%
  • AfD5.0%
  • Linke4.0%
  • Others4.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 39.0%, followed by CDU on 20.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 16 to 26 Aug 2021, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 11.0 points higher and CDU 9.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +11.0average 28.0
  • CDU -9.5average 29.5
  • FDP +4.0average 7.0
  • Grüne -3.0average 20.0
  • AfD -1.5average 6.5
  • Linke -1.0average 5.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 58 seatsCDU: 29 seatsGrüne: 25 seatsFDP: 16 seatsAfD: 7 seatsMajority from 68135of 135 seats
  • SPD58
  • CDU29
  • Grüne25
  • FDP16
  • AfD7
  • SPD + CDU87 of 135
  • SPD + Grüne83 of 135
  • SPD + FDP74 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP70 of 135
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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