Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 24 March 2022 for the Lower Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 22 Mar 2022
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD33.0%-2.0
- CDU28.0%-0.5
- Grüne19.0%+3.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- AfD5.5%±0
- Linke2.0%-0.5
- Others4.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 4 Mar 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 33.0%, followed by CDU on 28.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 19 to 22 Mar 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 4 Mar 2022, Grüne gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 4.0 points higher and CDU 3.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +4.0average 15.0
- CDU +3.5average 24.5
- FDP -2.5average 10.5
- SPD -2.0average 35.0
- AfD -1.5average 7.0
- Linke -1.5average 3.5
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD48
- CDU40
- Grüne27
- FDP12
- AfD8
- SPD + CDU88 of 135
- SPD + Grüne75 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + FDP79 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + AfD75 of 135
- SPD + FDP + AfD68 of 135
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.