Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 1 May 2022 for the Lower Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 25 Apr 2022 to 1 May 2022
- Respondents
- 1,010
- Method
- Online
- SPD34.0%+1.0
- CDU26.0%-2.0
- Grüne20.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- AfD6.0%+0.5
- Linke2.0%±0
- Others5.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 24 Mar 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 34.0%, followed by CDU on 26.0%. 1,010 people were surveyed from 25 Apr 2022 to 1 May 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 24 Mar 2022, CDU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 4.5 points higher and FDP 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 1 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +4.5average 15.5
- FDP -2.5average 9.5
- Linke -1.5average 3.5
- AfD -1.0average 7.0
- CDU +0.5average 25.5
- SPD ±0average 34.0
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD49
- CDU38
- Grüne29
- FDP10
- AfD9
- SPD + CDU87 of 135
- SPD + Grüne78 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + FDP77 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + AfD76 of 135
- SPD + FDP + AfD68 of 135
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.