Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 24 May 2022 for the Lower Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 24 May 2022
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- SPD30.5%-3.5
- CDU26.0%±0
- Grüne24.0%+4.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- AfD5.0%-1.0
- Linke2.0%±0
- Others5.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 1 May 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 30.5%, followed by CDU on 26.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 19 to 24 May 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 1 May 2022, Grüne gains 4.0 points, SPD loses 3.5 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 7.5 points higher and SPD 3.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 24 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +7.5average 16.5
- SPD -3.0average 33.5
- FDP -2.0average 9.0
- AfD -1.5average 6.5
- Linke -1.5average 3.5
- CDU ±0average 26.0
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD45
- CDU38
- Grüne35
- FDP10
- AfD7
- SPD + CDU83 of 135
- SPD + Grüne80 of 135
- CDU + Grüne73 of 135
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.