Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 12 June 2022 for the Lower Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 11 Jun 2022
- Respondents
- 1,100
- Method
- Online
- SPD32.0%+1.5
- CDU26.0%±0
- Grüne22.0%-2.0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- AfD6.0%+1.0
- Linke3.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 24 May 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 32.0%, followed by CDU on 26.0%. 1,100 people were surveyed from 4 to 11 Jun 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 24 May 2022, Grüne loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.5 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 5.5 points higher and FDP 3.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +5.5average 16.5
- FDP -3.0average 9.0
- SPD -1.5average 33.5
- AfD -0.5average 6.5
- Linke -0.5average 3.5
- CDU ±0average 26.0
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD47
- CDU38
- Grüne32
- FDP9
- AfD9
- SPD + CDU85 of 135
- SPD + Grüne79 of 135
- CDU + Grüne70 of 135
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.