Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 17 July 2022 for the Lower Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 17 Jul 2022
- Respondents
- 1,036
- Method
- Online
- SPD33.0%+1.0
- CDU27.0%+1.0
- Grüne22.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- AfD5.0%-1.0
- Linke2.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 12 Jun 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 33.0%, followed by CDU on 27.0%. 1,036 people were surveyed from 11 to 17 Jul 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 12 Jun 2022, SPD gains 1.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 2.7 points higher and Grüne 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.7average 30.3
- Grüne +1.7average 20.3
- AfD -1.3average 6.3
- Linke -1.3average 3.3
- FDP -1.0average 7.0
- CDU -0.3average 27.3
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD48
- CDU39
- Grüne32
- FDP9
- AfD7
- SPD + CDU87 of 135
- SPD + Grüne80 of 135
- CDU + Grüne71 of 135
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.