Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 5 August 2022 for the Lower Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 5 Aug 2022
- Respondents
- 1,421
- Method
- Online
- CDU30.0%+3.0
- SPD29.0%-4.0
- Grüne23.0%+1.0
- AfD6.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Linke2.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 17 Jul 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 29.0%. 1,421 people were surveyed from 1 to 5 Aug 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 17 Jul 2022, SPD loses 4.0 points, CDU gains 3.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 2.7 points higher and Grüne 2.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +2.7average 27.3
- Grüne +2.7average 20.3
- FDP -2.0average 7.0
- SPD -1.3average 30.3
- Linke -1.3average 3.3
- AfD -0.3average 6.3
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU44
- SPD42
- Grüne33
- AfD9
- FDP7
- CDU + SPD86 of 135
- CDU + Grüne77 of 135
- SPD + Grüne75 of 135
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.