Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 20 August 2022 for the Lower Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 20 Aug 2022
- Respondents
- 1,100
- Method
- Online
- CDU30.0%±0
- SPD27.0%-2.0
- Grüne21.0%-2.0
- FDP7.0%+2.0
- AfD7.0%+1.0
- Linke2.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 5 Aug 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 27.0%. 1,100 people were surveyed from 15 to 20 Aug 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 5 Aug 2022, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 3.3 points lower and CDU 2.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -3.3average 30.3
- CDU +2.7average 27.3
- Linke -1.3average 3.3
- Grüne +0.7average 20.3
- AfD +0.7average 6.3
- FDP ±0average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU44
- SPD40
- Grüne31
- FDP10
- AfD10
- CDU + SPD84 of 135
- CDU + Grüne75 of 135
- SPD + Grüne71 of 135
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.