Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 1 September 2022 for the Lower Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 31 Aug 2022
- Respondents
- 1,410
- Method
- Online
- SPD32.0%+5.0
- CDU29.0%-1.0
- Grüne19.0%-2.0
- AfD7.0%±0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Linke2.0%±0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 20 Aug 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 32.0%, followed by CDU on 29.0%. 1,410 people were surveyed from 27 to 31 Aug 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 20 Aug 2022, SPD gains 5.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 1.7 points higher and CDU 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.7average 30.3
- CDU +1.7average 27.3
- Linke -1.7average 3.7
- FDP -0.7average 6.7
- Grüne -0.3average 19.3
- AfD ±0average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD46
- CDU42
- Grüne28
- AfD10
- FDP9
- SPD + CDU88 of 135
- SPD + Grüne74 of 135
- CDU + Grüne70 of 135
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.