Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 2 September 2022 for the Lower Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 2 Sep 2022
- Respondents
- 1,001
- Method
- Online
- SPD34.5%+2.5
- CDU25.0%-4.0
- Grüne17.0%-2.0
- AfD8.5%+1.5
- FDP7.5%+1.5
- Linke3.0%+1.0
- Others4.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 1 Sep 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 34.5%, followed by CDU on 25.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 1 to 2 Sep 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 1 Sep 2022, CDU loses 4.0 points, SPD gains 2.5 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 4.2 points higher and CDU 2.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +4.2average 30.3
- CDU -2.3average 27.3
- Grüne -2.3average 19.3
- AfD +1.5average 7.0
- FDP +0.8average 6.7
- Linke -0.7average 3.7
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD50
- CDU37
- Grüne25
- AfD12
- FDP11
- SPD + CDU87 of 135
- SPD + Grüne75 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + AfD74 of 135
- SPD + AfD + FDP73 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + FDP73 of 135
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.