Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 17 September 2022 for the Lower Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 17 Sep 2022
- Respondents
- 992
- Method
- Online
- SPD34.5%±0
- CDU25.5%-0.5
- Grüne17.5%+0.5
- AfD9.0%+0.5
- FDP5.5%-0.5
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 9 Sep 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 34.5%, followed by CDU on 25.5%. 992 people were surveyed from 16 to 17 Sep 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 9 Sep 2022, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 4.0 points higher and Grüne 2.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +4.0average 30.5
- Grüne -2.3average 19.8
- CDU -2.0average 27.5
- AfD +1.7average 7.3
- FDP -0.8average 6.3
- Linke -0.8average 3.8
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD51
- CDU37
- Grüne26
- AfD13
- FDP8
- SPD + CDU88 of 135
- SPD + Grüne77 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + AfD76 of 135
- SPD + AfD + FDP72 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + FDP71 of 135
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.