Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 24 September 2022 for the Lower Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 24 Sep 2022
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- SPD35.0%+0.5
- CDU27.5%+2.0
- Grüne15.5%-2.0
- AfD9.0%±0
- FDP5.0%-0.5
- Linke2.5%-0.5
- Others5.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 17 Sep 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 35.0%, followed by CDU on 27.5%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 23 to 24 Sep 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 17 Sep 2022, CDU gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 4.2 points higher and Grüne 3.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +4.2average 30.8
- Grüne -3.8average 19.3
- Linke -1.3average 3.8
- AfD +1.2average 7.8
- FDP -1.0average 6.0
- CDU -0.3average 27.8
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD52
- CDU40
- Grüne23
- AfD13
- FDP7
- SPD + CDU92 of 135
- SPD + Grüne75 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + AfD76 of 135
- SPD + AfD + FDP72 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + FDP70 of 135
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.